Forecasting the economic dynamics of regional indicators affecting the Inclusive Development Index
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5377/reice.v12i24.20060Keywords:
Inclusive growth, sustainable growth, development, socio-economic factors, inclusive development, Volga Federal District, concept, assessment, analysisAbstract
This article presents a correlation and regression analysis of GRP indicators, along with a forecast of the main factors contributing to the inclusive growth index of regions, using the Volga Federal District as an example. The aim of the article is to forecast key development indicators for the Volga Federal District within the framework of the inclusive development concept. The research methods include correlation-regression analysis, statistical analysis, mathematical modeling, graphical analysis, comparative analysis, and a bibliometric review. The author identifies significant factors affecting GRP and the relationships between them. The analysis highlights that per capita income and demographic load are the major factors significantly impacting GRP and inclusive growth. The study also features charts depicting the dynamics of key socio-economic development factors in the Volga Federal District over a five-year period, up to 2028.
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